Climate security and a vulnerability model for conflict prevention: a systematic literature review focusing on African agriculture

Table 7 Final selection of articles^a

	Author	Non-climatic variables	Climatic variables	Group type/land use	Policy recommendations	Vulnerability assessed
	Climate-conflict
1	[3].	P, Geo	W, D	Pstrl	G (local intuitions)	No
2	[5]	M, G	RV, W	CB, Pstrl	0	No
3	[9]	EG, EPM	W, D	CW	AA	No
4	[10]	EG, EPM, P	RV, D	CB, Pstrl	DL, EG, CDW, AA	Yes
5	[12]	EG, EPM, G, PD	RV, D	CW	0	Yes
6	[11]	EG, G	RV, W	CW	AA	Yes
7	[13]	EG, G	RV, W	CW	IMA, EG, RP, AA	Yes
8	[14]	G	D	Pstrl	0	Yes
9	[17]	P	W	CW	0	Yes
10	[15]	G, Geo	RV, W, D	CW	0	No
11	[18]	EG, EPM	RV	CB, Pstrl	0	Yes
12	[22]	EG, G	RV	Com	DL	Yes
13	[23]	EG, G	RV	Com	IMA, G	Yes
14	[25]	EG, G	RV, W	CB, Pstrl	0	Yes
15	[27]	EG, G	RV, W, D	Com	G, SG	Yes
16	[30]	EPM	RV, W	Pstrl	DL, IMA, AA	Yes
17	[31]	G	RV, V	Pstrl	EG, G, SE	Yes
18	[37]	EG, G, Geo	W	CB, Pstrl	0	No
19	[36]	EG, EPM, G, Geo	RV, W	ID	0	Yes
20	[41]	EG, G	D	CB, Pstrl, U	G	Yes
21	[42]	P	RV	CW, Com	G, SE	No
22	[44]	Mal	V	Com	0	Yes
23	[47]	EPM, P, G	W, D	Pstrl	EG, RM, G (local institutions), AA	Yes
24	[54]	EPM	W	CB	0	Yes
25	[53]	P, PD	W, D	Pstrl	0	No
26	[58]	ED, P, PD	D	CB	AA	Yes
27	[60]	G	W	CB, Pstrl, U	G	Yes
	Climate adaptation
1	[4]	0	W	CB	DC	No
2	[7]	SE	RV, W	ID	DC, IEC, IC	Yes
3	[19]	0	RV, W	CB	CI, GM	No
4	[20]	SE	RV, W	CB, MC, MU	DC, Tech, IEC	Yes
5	[21]	SE	D	U	ISD	Yes
6	[28]	SE	RV, W	CB	RWH, CI	No
7	[29]	0	RV, W	CB	RWH	No
8	[32]	SE, LB	RV	MU	0	No
9	[33]	SE	RV, W, D	CB	DC, ISD	Yes
10	[34]	SE	RV, W	MU	DC, Tech, IEC, IC	Yes
11	[38]	SE	D	Pstrl	IMA, IEC	No
12	[39]	SE	RV, LD	CB, Pstrl	IC	Yes
13	[46]	SE	RV, W	CB, Pstrl	0	Yes
14	[48]	SE, G	W, D	CB, Pstrl	IC	Yes
15	[49]	0	W, D	SC	DC, DL	Yes
16	[50]	0	RV, W	CB, Pstrl, MU	MU (integrated farming)	Yes
17	[51]	SE, FS	RV	CB	IEC, IC	Yes
18	[56]	ID	RV	CB	Tech, IEC	Yes
19	[59]	SE, G	RV, D	CB	DC, IEC	Yes

^aAppendix A Key: Economic growth = EG, socio-economic = SE, food security = FS, ethno-political marginalization = EPM, poverty = P, population density = PD, governance = G, geography (distance to settlements, boarders, roads) = Geo, malnutrition = Mal, livelihood based = LB. Rainfall variability = RV, warming = W, drought = D, land degradation = LD, vegetation (density change) = V, natural disasters = ND, extreme weather = EW. Crop based = CB, single crop = SC, mixed crop = MC, mixed use = MU, pastoral (includes livestock for adaptation literature) = Pstrl, civil war = CW, urban = U, communal = Com, ill-defined = ID, not sufficiently analyzed = 0. Diversify livelihoods = DL, increase market access = IMA, reduce poverty = RP, reduce marginalization = RM, stabilize governance = SG, conflict and disaster warning systems = CDW, agricultural adaptation = AA, diversify crops = DC, increase farm assets and technology = Tech, increase extension and credit services = IEC, increase farm capacity = IC, institutional development = ISD, rainwater harvesting = RWH, genetically modify = GM, crop intensification = CI,

ISSN: 2520-8748